Will "PSA: The community is in Berkeley/Oakland, no..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Basic
1
Ṁ164Feb 1
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post PSA: The community is in Berkeley/Oakland, not "the Bay Area" is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will "Discussion with Nate Soares on a key alignmen..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
21% chance
Will "One Day Sooner" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "Response to Aschenbrenner's "Situational Awar..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
22% chance
Will "What I would do if I wasn’t at ARC Evals" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "How do you feel about LessWrong these days? [..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
10% chance
Will "One Day Sooner" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "Every "Every Bay Area House Party" Bay Area H..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "Charbel-Raphaël and Lucius discuss interpreta..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "Reproducing ARC Evals' recent report on langu..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
10% chance
Will "Lsusr's Rationality Dojo" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
17% chance