Will "Discussion with Nate Soares on a key alignmen..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Basic
3
Ṁ23Feb 1
21%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Discussion with Nate Soares on a key alignment difficulty is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
Get
1,000
and1.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will "Charbel-Raphaël and Lucius discuss interpreta..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "An Extremely Opinionated Annotated List of My..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
38% chance
Will "Without fundamental advances, misalignment an..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
46% chance
Will "Shallow review of live agendas in alignment &..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
61% chance
Will "Lessons On How To Get Things Right On The Fir..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
51% chance
Will "A stylized dialogue on John Wentworth's claim..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
26% chance
Will "Critical review of Christiano's disagreements..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
27% chance
Will "A rough and incomplete review of some of John..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "The Dial of Progress" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
19% chance
Will "EIS XIII: Reflections on Anthropic’s SAE Rese..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
17% chance