Will "ChatGPT (and now GPT4) is very easily distrac..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Plus
1
Ṁ250Feb 1
11%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post ChatGPT (and now GPT4) is very easily distracted from its rules is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will "Steering GPT-2-XL by adding an activation vector" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
51% chance
Will "GPTs are Predictors, not Imitators" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
60% chance
Will "ChatGPT can learn indirect control" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "AI #4: Introducing GPT-4" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "GPT-175bee" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "The Great Data Integration Schlep" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
32% chance
Will "LeCun’s “A Path Towards Autonomous Machine In..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
18% chance
Will "What will GPT-2030 look like?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "You can just spontaneously call people you ha..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "Bing Chat is blatantly, aggressively misaligned" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
12% chance