Will "Getting 50% (SoTA) on ARC-AGI with GPT-4o" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
➕
Plus
3
Ṁ425
2026
13%
chance

As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.

This market will resolve to 100% if the post Getting 50% (SoTA) on ARC-AGI with GPT-4o is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.

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