Will "The Leopold Model: Analysis and Reactions" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Plus
1
Ṁ502026
13%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post The Leopold Model: Analysis and Reactions is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will "Against Almost Every Theory of Impact of Inte..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
59% chance
Will "What Goes Without Saying" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
10% chance
Will "Model, Care, Execution" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
22% chance
Will "An Extremely Opinionated Annotated List of My..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
38% chance
Will "My Model Of EA Burnout" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
21% chance
Will "The Parable of the King and the Random Process" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
82% chance
Will "Against LLM Reductionism" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
21% chance
Will "The Dial of Progress" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
19% chance
Will "Model Organisms of Misalignment: The Case for..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
86% chance
Will "Dark Forest Theories" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
19% chance