Will "Anthropic release Claude 3, claims >GPT-4 Per..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
1
31
Ṁ150Ṁ120
2026
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Anthropic release Claude 3, claims >GPT-4 Performance is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
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