How many people can I get to leave Twitter and come to Manifold?
9
1kṀ757
Nov 5
191 people
expected
10%
1 - 4
28%
5 - 19
10%
20 - 99
27%
100 - 249
10%
250 - 499
15%
500 - 1000

I'm done with Twitter. This is way more fun. So how many people can I recruit?

https://x.com/leo_guinan/status/1975285229318283282

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How are you showing that you got people to leave twitter and join manifold. What’s the criteria?

filled a Ṁ1 YES at 18% order

I think on Manifold you'll find much more support for this idea than your other one. Would you do me a favor and give a few of them my referral link? https://manifold.markets?r=Q2h1bWNodWx1bQ

opened a Ṁ1 YES at 10% order

@LeoGuinanEqPl my ambition is to become a superforecaster while delaying buying M with fiat for as long as possible.

@Chumchulum Let's make that happen. Here's a fun game for you: create a market about how many people actually click your link vs how many make fun of me for screwing up the referral link: https://x.com/leo_guinan/status/1975288274190033013

. I also gave a couple friends instructions on which of the links to deliver to different groups of people and we're gonna see what everyone can predict.

Oh, and I've got some tech that will give you a hand with that "becoming a superforecaster" thing, so stay tuned.

@LeoGuinanEqPl I just saw this, I won't be able to use my market creation bonus again until Sunday. Please vote on the poll I made before I saw

https://manifold.markets/Chumchulum/how-should-i-brainstorm-my-next-mar?r=Q2h1bWNodWx1bQ

Thank you. I began reading "Time Violence" and I'll tell you my full thoughts. Please have the new users invest mana in the markets they believe in, not send it all to their referrers as that would violate TOS. If sent undue amounts of M I will send it back. I'd like you also to commit to this.

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