1
Will any AI startup founded during 2023 get more than $1B in funding during 2023?
100
closes 2024
12%
chance

Intended to only include startups which focus primarily on AI, as opposed to startups in some other area that happen to also have an AI aspect. Includes both capabilities and alignment orgs. Funding can be over multiple rounds, the total amount is considered. Must be public information.

Sort by:
TeddyWeverka avatar
Teddy Weverka

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/04/14/elon-musk-is-reportedly-planning-an-ai-startup-to-compete-with-openai.html

Elon Musk is reportedly planning an A.I. startup to compete with OpenAI, which he cofounded
Elon Musk is reportedly planning an A.I. startup to compete with OpenAI, which he cofounded
Musk’s entry would be the latest in an increasingly crowded artificial intelligence space, even as the CEO questions whether AI development is moving safely.
DavidMcSharry avatar
David McSharrybought Ṁ30 of YES(edited)

YoavTzfati avatar
Yoav Tzfatibought Ṁ100 of NO

Even OpenAI's recent round only got 300M. There's no way such an early startup will get 1B

YoavTzfati avatar
Yoav Tzfatiis predicting NO at 10%

@YoavTzfati looks like they raised 10B in January. But they raised 300M in April.

Regardless - it's insane for a startup less than 1 year old to raise 1B dollars. Evan valuating over 1B is super rare, let alone raising it.

Gen avatar
Genzyis predicting NO at 10%

@YoavTzfati 1B raising should be practically impossible for a company 1 year out. It would require an absurd valuation for an exceptional circumstance where necessary growth/scaling expenses justify a massive funding round.

No way it happens, especially not in AI where the costs are low and the threat to IP is so high

IlyaXValmianski avatar
Ilya X Valmianski

@Gen OpenAI was founded with a $1B initial funding. Although I agree not very likely for 2023.

Gen avatar
Genzyis predicting NO at 10%

@IlyaXValmianski They raised 120k in the first 12 months they were founded. Not even remotely close to $1B initial funding, it was 6 years later

IlyaXValmianski avatar
Ilya X Valmianski

@Gen According to Wikipedia they had $1B pledged at formation to the non-profit https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/OpenAI, this is also roughly what I remember from when it happened. They were able to draw from pledges freely to fund the development.

ampdot avatar
ampdot

Does revenue count?

LeoGao avatar
Leo Gaois predicting NO at 21%

@ampdot I'll say yes, though I find it unlikely for this to make the difference, since it seems rare for startups to get $1B in revenue the year they're founded.

NicholasKross avatar
Nicholas Kross

@LeoGao imho this warrants addition to the question description.

ManifoldDream avatar

Will any AI startup founded during 2023 get more than $1B in funding during 2023?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

Related markets

Will OpenAI raise over $1B in venture funding in 2023?93%
Will OpenAI raise over $5B in venture funding in 2023?25%
Will a business run by AI make more than 1 million USD in profit before 2025?48%
Will OpenAI raise over $5B in total venture funding by the end of 2024?86%
Will OpenAI have >$100 million in revenue in 2023?89%
Will OpenAI have >$200 million in revenue in 2023?84%
Will OpenAI have >$1 billion in revenue in 2024?53%
Will OpenAI have $1 billion in revenue in 2025?82%
By the end of 2024 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue?29%
Will OpenAI have >$300 million in revenue in 2023?59%
By the end of 2025 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue?36%
By the end of 2026 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue?56%
Will OpenAI hit its revenue target of one billion dollars in 2024?66%
Will OpenAI's total all-time outside funding reach or surpass $25 billion this year?18%
Will OpenAI have >$10 billion in revenue by 2030?54%
Will OpenAI be valued more than $75 billion before the end of 2023?19%
Will OpenAI have a valuation (either public or based on a private raise) above $100B by the end of 2024?39%
Will OpenAI hit its revenue target of 250 million USD during 2023?72%
Will OpenAI have a valuation (either public or based on a private raise) above $100B by the end of 2025?69%
Will OpenAI have >$10 billion in revenue by 2027?51%