Conditional on early political elections been held in Italy in 2022, will Meloni’s Fratelli d’Italia result the most-voted party?

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resolved Sep 27

Resolved

YES

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This market resolves to ‘yes’ if, by the end of the year, early elections have been called in Italia AND Fratelli d’Italia results the most-voted party (even if it is unable/unwilling to form a government). The result of any eventual centre-right coalition will not matter.

Market context

Italian affairs

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