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MANIFOLD
Will I (wrusb) reach Expert on Codeforces before the start of August 1st 2026?
9
Ṁ100Ṁ789
Jul 31
78%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if the Codeforces user wrusb achieves the rank of Expert (a rating of 1600 or higher) at any point before August 1, 2026, at 00:00 UTC.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.

Key details & edge cases:

  • Source of Truth: Resolution will be based on the official Codeforces profile for the handle wrusb: https://codeforces.com/profile/wrusb.

  • Rating Requirement: The user's rating must reach or exceed 1600 on their profile after any officially rated contest.

  • Timing: The rating update must be officially processed and displayed on the profile page before August 1, 2026, 00:00 UTC. Contests that end or have their ratings updated after this cutoff will not count.

  • Handle Changes: If the user renames their account, the market will track the new handle if it can be verified as the same account. If the account is deleted, banned, or remains inactive without reaching 1600 before the deadline, the market will resolve to NO.

Background

Codeforces is a popular competitive programming platform where users participate in rounds to solve algorithmic challenges. Ratings are updated dynamically after each contest using an Elo-based system. Ranks are designated by rating thresholds, with the "Expert" tier representing users with a rating between 1600 and 1899. Achieving this tier typically requires consistent performance and the ability to solve intermediate to advanced competitive programming problems.

Market context
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