Conditional on not improving my LSAT score, will I get accepted into a T14 law school next year?
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resolved Jan 1
Resolved
N/A

I'll be applying to the T14 law schools next year, the 2023-24 cycle.

Those schools are: Yale University, Standford University, University of Chicago, Columbia University, Harvard University, University of Pennsylvania, New York University, University of Virginia, University of California-Berkeley, University of Michigan, Duke University, Cornell University, Northwestern University, and Georgetown University.

By the Numbers:

I have taken the LSAT twice; a 164 and 169 respectively

My official LSAC GPA is a 3.94 from a very average state university

Potential Qualitative and DEI factors:

24/25 year-old white male

Finished my undergrad in social studies education and will have taught for ~3 years by application season; two of which will be at a very diverse focus school designed for seniors and super seniors that behind on graduation

Son of a middle-eastern refugee

Pell Grant recipient

First lawyer in the family but not first college grad

I will resolve this yes if I get accepted into at least one T14 school by June 1st 2024 and no if I do not.

I will resolve this N/A if my LSAT score improves in my remaining attempts or if for some reason I fail to apply to at least two of the fourteen T14 schools.

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Ivy league is entirely affirmative action, youre never getting in regardless of scores.

@SusiEhw That strikes me as extremely reductionist. Some percentage of every school on this list is white men, and it's not a small percent at any of them.

Even if the entire IVY league didn't accept white students this year, only 5 of the 14 schools on this list are IVY and importantly next year affirmative action likely will have been struck down by the supreme court. Here's another market on that case: https://manifold.markets/SolomonSia/will-the-supreme-court-universally

There's a question of course, as to what extent the universities will try and skirt any potential ban.

@DavidPeterson4884 jews have a lower than average fluid IQ yet make up a quarter of the ivy league due to affirmative action

@SusiEhw Jews, at least european jews, have really high fluid IQ. Highest of any ethnic group.

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