By 2050, will humanity harness and utilize energy on a scale approaching Type I on the Kardashev scale?
17
1kṀ1307
2051
10%
chance
Same update as the one for EOY 2060

YES Resolution:

  • This market resolves to YES if, by December 31, 2050, humanity has reached Type I status on the Kardashev scale, signifying the ability to use and store all of the energy available on planet Earth.

  • Reaching the Engery combustion of 5 * 10^20 Wh per year (current approximation of the amount of energy to be Type I civilization)


NO Resolution:

  • If by the end of 2050, there is no consensus or evidence that humanity has achieved Type I status on the Kardashev scale, the market will resolve to NO.

Verification:

  • The resolution will be based on widespread scientific consensus or announcements from leading global energy research institutions, as reported in reputable scientific publications or global news outlets.

Another Question with the deadline of EOY 2060:

Technology
World
Science
Futurism
Energy
Kardashev scale
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