This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31 2023, 11:59:59 PM CT, at least one article has appeared on the New York Times that mentions the word "Georgism", "Henry George", or "Land Value Tax", in a neutral or positive light.
Jan 5, 9:41pm: Will the New York Times write a non-negative article about Georgism in 2023 → Will the New York Times write a non-negative article about Georgism in 2023?
Jan 9, 8:11pm: Will the New York Times write a non-negative article about Georgism in 2023? → Will the New York Times write a non-negative article that mentions Georgism in 2023?
Jan 9, 8:16pm: Will the New York Times write a non-negative article that mentions Georgism in 2023? → Will the New York Times write a non-negative article that mentions Georgism in 2023, even in passing?
1,000
3.00“Both Miller and Atkinson advocate friendshoring of critical parts, which is switching to suppliers based in nations that are reliable allies. That’s economically efficient, since it’s been known since the time of Adam Smith and David Ricardo that everyone wins when countries specialize in what they’re best at rather than erect protectionist barriers and try to do everything alone. Henry George, the great 19th-century economist, wrote, “What protection teaches us is to do to ourselves in time of peace what enemies seek to do to us in time of war.”
Thanks to those who linked this below. Mentions Henry George with the word “great” and in support of the author’s argument. Positive valence.
@Zardoru manifold loves georgism (me too) but I'm suspicious the rest of the world does. Plus, doesn't georgism have its own weaknesses?
@ConnorMcCormick One reference in the entire newspaper is a low bar to clear. And YIMBYism is so big among the type of young people who will be thought leaders in 2035 that I think it's only a matter of time before it's mainstream.
@LarsDoucet Would you consider altering the criteria or the title so they match more closely? The description is more lenient than I would expect from reading the title: "article that mentions" vs. "article about."
@MichaelWheatley I’ll make the title match and I can spin up an alternate stricter market that requires it as the main subject matter (so a YIMBY article that mentions it in passing wouldn’t count)
@LarsDoucet Companion market where the concepts have to be central. This one is now clarified to cover whether any of the concepts are mentioned even in passing.
https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/will-the-new-york-times-write-a-non-928093402cd3