Will a manifold-hosted Beff Jezos vs. Dwarkesh Debate occur before the end of 2024?
Plus
22
Ṁ3632Jan 1
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://twitter.com/ManifoldMarkets/status/1732111064660361325
Resolves YES if Beff Jezos and Dwarkesh actually attend a debate hosted by Manifold before 2024 is out.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
All right, had my fun, @BabyCoder if you want size throw up a limit order in the 80s or 90s so I can verify there's been no movement, and decent chance I would fill it (and also be happy to lose cause I want to hear this)
Related questions
Related questions
Who will be guests on the Dwarkesh Patel podcast in 2024?
Will there be consensus on who Dwarkesh's "biggest guest yet" was, before Q3 2025? (Resolves to poll)
80% chance
Will Beff Jezos AGREE to participate in a debate hosted by manifold before 2024 is over?
2% chance
Will Manifold agree that Dwarkesh's upcoming guest is "by far [his] biggest yet"? (Resolves to poll)
37% chance
Will Elon Musk appear on Dwarkesh Podcast before 2025?
3% chance
Who will be guest on the Dwarkesh Patel podcast?
Who will be guests on the Dwarkesh Patel podcast in 2025?
Will Hasan Debate Destiny in 2024?
5% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky and Destiny have another in-depth discussion before the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will Beff have a voice debate with Eliezer Yudkowsky about AI risk before the end of 2024?
7% chance