How many ballots will it take to decide the next speaker of the House? (Part 2)
45
1.1kṀ4513
resolved Jan 7
Resolved
15

Minimum ballots is 11, maximum is 50. If it goes over 50, I will still choose 50 as the resolving criteria.

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Resolved in 15 ballots. Kevin McCarthy is speaker of the house.

predictedHIGHER

I'm not updating much from many of the defectors switching back to McCarthy. Getting the last few votes will be very difficult for him, and the progress he's made essentially rules out McCarthy standing aside in favor of Scalise any time soon.

@AlexMennen They don't like Scalise either, mostly.

Log scale version!

@Conflux I didn't know we had a log scale! Neat.

@LarsDoucet I didn’t either - I was planning to resolve to the base 2 logarithm of the number of ballots, but then I saw the “Log scale” button and was pleased!

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