By 2050, how many degrees (C°) of global warming will there be relative to the 1851-1900 baseline?
➕
Plus
22
Ṁ3038
2050
43%
1.75-1.99° C
22%
2.00-2.24° C
11%
2.25-2.49° C
7%
1.50-1.74° C
4%
2.50-2.74° C
3%
1.25-1.49° C
2%
2.75-2.99° C
1.8%
3.00-3.24° C
1.5%
3.25-3.49° C

On January 1, 2050, this market resolves to whatever the average global temperature of the earth was for the past year, and how much higher it is compared to the baseline average global temperature of 1851-1900.

I will use the average of whatever the top three most accepted and widely respected temperature measuring sources are at that time and average them. The number will be rounded (not floor'ed, not ceil'ed, but rounded) to two decimal places, and then this market resolves to whatever choice here the true value falls within.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules