Will China declare war on another country by 2030?
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23
Ṁ877
2030
25%
chance

Resolves YES if:

China makes a declaration of war by 2030.

Resolves NO if:

China doesn't make a declaration of war by 2030.

If for some reason China invades without declaring war, I will still resolve NO to remove ambiguity.

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Friendly reminder that Taiwan is not another country from Beijing's perspective.

predicts NO

@BrunoParga and also that countries very rarely declare war these days anyway.

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