Will a graviton be directly observed in a peer-reviewed paper before 2100?

Basic

6

Ṁ932100

38%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if:

Graviton is announced to be observed in a peer-reviewed paper before 2100

Resolves NO if:

Graviton is not observed in a peer-reviewed paper before 2100

Get

1,000

and1.00

## Related questions

## Related questions

When will (inelastic) graviton-* scattering be observed?

2046

Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?

12% chance

Will a new subatomic particle be experimentally confirmed to exist before 2040?

30% chance

Will neutrinoless double beta decay be observed before 2100?

47% chance

Will a Pulsar Timing Array experiment detect gravitational waves from a resolvable point source before the year 2030?

50% chance

Will we know if gravity is fundamentally quantum by the end of 2030?

19% chance

Will a gravitational wave signal be observed from a Thorne-Żytkow object by 2040?

36% chance

Will we discover a new, (believed to be) non-composite particle by 2050?

45% chance

Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2040?

60% chance

Observation of Hawking radiation by 2040?

26% chance