Will a Pulsar Timing Array experiment detect gravitational waves from a resolvable point source before the year 2030?
15
1.1kṀ1487
2030
52%
chance

NANOGrav recently made headlines by observing the stochastic gravitational waves background produced by the combination of many supermassive black hole binaries. Will a Pulsar Timing Array successfully pinpoint and resolve a specific supermassive black hole binary as a point source of gravitational waves before the year 2030.

This question will be resolved with a "YES" if a Pulsar Timing Arrays colaboration announces the successful identification of a point source of gravitational waves with a significance exceeding 3σ by the year 2030. Otherwise, it will be resolved as "NO."

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