Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
[SHORT] Will the wikipedia page "Thursday Night Massacre" still exist as the page's title in four days?
13
Ṁ250Ṁ1.5k
resolved Dec 17
Resolved
NO

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thursday_Night_Massacre

Will this page be either deleted or renamed/redirected before market close?

as of 11:30 PM Pacific on 12/16/2022, this page is not a redirect, and its contents begin:

The "Thursday Night Massacre" is a term[1][2][3] that refers to the December 15, 2022, account suspension of several high-profile journalists from the Twitter platform. At least nine journalists who covered the social media company and its owner, Elon Musk, were all suspended without warning. This included reporters Keith Olbermann, Steven L. Herman, and Donie O'Sullivan, and journalists from The New York Times, The Washington Post, CNN, and The Intercept.[1][4][5][6] The suspensions were initially described as permanent, but later clarified to last for seven days

The citations 1 through 6 are:

  1. https://www.mediaite.com/tech/twitter-suspends-several-reporters-accounts-in-thursday-night-massacre-i-havent-been-given-a-reason/

  2. https://financialpost.com/pmn/business-pmn/elon-musks-twitter-suspension-of-journalists-draws-global-backlash

  3. https://theintercept.com/2022/12/16/elon-musk-twitter-suspended-journalists/

  4. https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/social-media/twitter-suspends-journalists-covering-elon-musk-company-rcna62032

  5. https://deadline.com/2022/12/twitter-suspends-journalist-accounts-elon-musk-keith-olbermann-1235200729/

  6. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/twitter-aaron-rupar-twitter-suspended-b2246293.html

I reserve the right to bet.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ102
2Ṁ79
3Ṁ61
4Ṁ17
5Ṁ17
Sort by:
predictedNO

okay, feeling better about the no resolution - the thing I expected did occur: it has been renamed to "December 15, 2022 Twitter suspensions" and may shortly be deleted.

predictedNO

@CatherineDavid oh man. that's JUST outside of the literal resolution criteria, so I think I have to resolve no, but I'm really regretting my phrasing now. next time I ask about a controversial-seeming Wikipedia page name I'll have to specify the exact controversial seeming phrasing and ask what's it changes!

@L it's really annoying. I agree you have to resolve no, but also "that wasn't what I meant!"