Will the Fehmarn Belt fixed link between Denmark and Germany be completed by 2030?
Will the Fehmarn Belt fixed link between Denmark and Germany be completed by 2030?
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The Fehmarn Belt fixed link is an under-construction road and rail connection between Germany and Eastern Denmark.
According to the project website, it will be completed and open to traffic in 2029.
This question resolves to true if the project is officially completed before 2030 [1].
In the absence of an official announcement of completion, or in the event that the link is declared completed despite clearly not being capable of full-scale operation, I reserve the right to use a common-sense resolution criteria based on whether or not the link is routinely passable for regular road and rail traffic.
[1] As per the official time in Copenhagen
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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