Assume we have "Will this question go below 20% before Resolution date" and you see the market currently at 25%. If you say yes, it bumps the market value up, away from the critical vlaue. If you say no, you move it towards the critical value of resolution, but against your own potential to profit at resolution,
An analogous but inverted situation happens for "Will this question not exceed 80% by resolution"
You observe the market at 75%, if you vote no, you increase the chance of a positive resolution, if you vote yes you decrease that chance.
Both situations are paradoxical, and despite their beautifly Russellian nature, It seems like a market makers scam.
This market will resolve by, on the 25th Dec 2024, my attempting to make the ADDITIONAL MARKET
"Will this question go below 10% before 00:00GMT 30th Dec 2024"
If that ADDITIONAL fails to resolve and is banned/blocked/removed/impossible to create,
THIS market will resolve YES
If it is not banned/blocked/removed/impossible to create, this market will resolve NO
Simple as <3