I'm trying to get fair betting odds on the prediction below.

https://manifold.markets/Krantz/if-eliezer-charitably-reviewed-my-w?r=S3JhbnR6

Everyone seems to believe it is less than 1% likely.

Will the true odds ever reflect that?

This prediction will resolve 'yes' if the question ever dips below 1% or my limit orders are filled.

It will resolve 'no' if my limit orders fail to be filled before 2030.