Who will win a Nobel Prize before they die?
19
300Ṁ14332100
92%
Alexei Kitaev
38%
Daniel Hillis
25%
Jamie Joyce
22%
Daniel Sheehan
20%
Robin Hanson
14%
Balaji Srinivasan
9%
Robert Kennedy Jr.
8%
Eliezer Yudkowsky
6%
Elon Musk
6%
5%
Donald Trump
4%
John Preskill
Will resolve 'yes' when individuals win Nobel Prize.
Will resolve 'no' when they die.
Posthumously winning does not count for this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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