Could Krantz bring 100 new users to the Manifold platform for $1,000?
2
100Ṁ21
Jan 1
50%
chance

I claim that IF Manifold charitably invested $1,000 of liquidity into the following prediction:

https://manifold.markets/Krantz/horseshoe-indianapolis-casino-deale?r=S3JhbnR6

THEN at least 100 of Krantz's friends, who are dealers on strike/poker players who don't really know anything about prediction markets or futarchies, will join Manifold and begin understanding/participating and teaching their friends about prediction markets.

More importantly, they will understand how decentralized incentive mechanisms within prediction markets allow them to influence real world events.

I believe the most effectively altruistic use of my time is to use prediction markets to teach others how to use prediction markets.  I see a tremendous opportunity for recruitment here but don't have the capital to incentivize the participate at the scale I'd like to see.

Can Manifold help?
I'd be happy to donate any revenue I recieve back to the organization. 

My ultimate goal is recruitment to the platform.

Thanks

Will resolve NA if Manifold doesn't inject 1k liquidity before strike ends.

Will resolve "yes" if 100 users sign up on the below prediction.

Will resolve "no" if Manifold injects 1k and less than 100 users sign up before strike ends.

P.S. I also believe 10k of liquidity would bring in > 1,000 new users.

Horseshoe Indianapolis Casino Dealer Union Strike - PROP BETS
The dealers at Horseshoe Indianapolis Casino are currently on strike to establish fair union representation. Which of the following propositions will turn out to be true about the strike? I am primarily using this prediction as a recruitment tool for bringing my coworkers onto the Manifold platform. My primarily objective on this platform is to teach the open source community how decentralized proposition markets can be used to game theoretically align the truth (denoted by a decentralized futarchic negotiation of moral realism). I believe my capacity to accomplish that would be increased if I had more IRL friends using this platform. This is a mechanism orders of magnitude more disruptive than Bitcoin. More information can be found in my other predictions. My general aim with this prediction, is to teach those around me who are not familiar with the game theoretics of futarchy, network states, DAOs and decision markets, about how they can be used to decentrally negotiate terms of coordination by applying it to something important in their life. I want them to write down what they want to be true about the union movement so they can have a place to see how likely those scenarios are, bet on whether they will occur, and see who else expects what to happen. I think this could bring many users to Manifold, earn me some Mana/connections and help spread awareness of valuable mechanisms to the general public. Will resolve as propositions are verifiable.
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M$1000 or $1000 USD? What if some random user adds the liquidity?

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