Opinion market: Russia or Ukraine
Basic
7
Ṁ932050
Russia50%
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market is meant to track the approvement by Manifold-community of recent actions of both sides in real time.
This market resolves to 50% when the peace is reached (might not be in our lifetime).
Evaluate, whether moving the market/showing your opinion is worth for you spending the mana.
Any statements in the comments are likely to be hidden by me. This is not the place to prove anything, show your opinion through trading only.
This is not meant to be a poll / to represent proportions of people. It is meant to grasp how valuable people think their opinion is and finding equilibrium of many such opinions.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Ukraine warcasting megamarket
Who will win the Russia-Ukraine War?
will Russia win the war in Ukraine
41% chance
Opinion market: Israel or Palestine
Ukraine Presidential election
What will be the next country attacked by Russia after Ukraine?
Ukraine democracy index 2028
5.1
First to visit Ukraine: Trump or Putin?
Will Russia nuke Ukraine?
6% chance
Ukraine stock
Ṁ364