Belarus, Russia, Ukraine, Kazahstan - Entangled market.

Question

Resolves to the value, associated with the country, which first has Coup d'état or changes its official name.

Belarus 0%, Russia 33%, Ukraine 67%, Kazahstan 100%.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 43% chance (4 traders, as of May 3, 2026).

People are also trading