When will Relativity's Terran R rocket launch? | Manifold

When will Relativity's Terran R rocket launch?

3

Ṁ250Ṁ118

2029

October 6, 2027

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

4%

Q4 2026

11%

Q1 2027

24%

Q2 2027

11%

Q3 2027

11%

Q4 2027

11%

Q1 2028

11%

Q2 2028

9%

Q3 2028

9%

Q4 2028

Resolution Criteria

Terran R will launch from Launch Complex 16 at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station, Florida starting in late 2026. The market resolves YES on the date of the first successful orbital launch of Terran R. Resolution will be determined by official confirmation from Relativity Space or FAA/Space Force records. Any launch attempt that does not lift off from the pad does not count.

Market context

Commercial spaceflight

Space exploration

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