
Who will be first to AGI
48
1.3kṀ24062050
25%
OpenAI
6%
Microsoft
3%
Meta
3%
Huggingface/homegrown
30%
Google
5%
US government
3%
China government
1.3%
Russia government
1.4%
Apple
22%
AGI is impossible
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In what specific year will we hit AGI?
2035
Will we get AGI before 2031?
49% chance
What year will mark the first true AGI?
2029
Will we get AGI before 2032?
54% chance
Will we get AGI before 2030?
41% chance
Will we get AGI before 2026?
6% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
30% chance
Who will lead the AGI race end of 2025?
By when will we have AGI?
Which company will create AGI first?
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@jim What if AGI is not impossible and actually happens but none of these companies/governments ever reach it because the AGI is a runaway intelligence and blocks all other forms of AGI from developing?
@BrianBors no problem... but to be clear I'm not the market creator and it's not up to me how this resolves!
@jim Ha! It's good that you mention this because I did interpret it that way and bet on that assumption. XD But that is my fault.
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Related questions
In what specific year will we hit AGI?
2035
Will we get AGI before 2031?
49% chance
What year will mark the first true AGI?
2029
Will we get AGI before 2032?
54% chance
Will we get AGI before 2030?
41% chance
Will we get AGI before 2026?
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Will we get AGI before 2029?
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Who will lead the AGI race end of 2025?
By when will we have AGI?
Which company will create AGI first?