Who will be first to AGI
40
1.3kṀ18812050
32%
OpenAI
10%
Microsoft
4%
Meta
4%
Huggingface/homegrown
29%
Google
8%
US government
5%
China government
1.8%
Russia government
1.9%
Apple
5%
AGI is impossible
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2028?
24% chance
Will we get AGI before 2027?
10% chance
Will we get AGI before 2030?
56% chance
Will we get AGI before 2027?
10% chance
Who will lead the AGI race end of 2025?
Will we get AGI before 2029?
42% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
43% chance
Will we get AGI before 2032?
67% chance
Will we get AGI before 2033?
69% chance
Which company will create AGI first?