Will white-collar workers unionize to prevent job loss to AI/automation in 2024?
422
3.4kṀ47kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
[This is Kevin's medium-confidence prediction from the 12/22/23 episode of Hard Fork]
This market will resolve to yes if there is significant new union activity in at least 3 of these 5 fields by December 31, 2024: law, finance, medicine, media and tech. To count, unions don't need to be NLRB-certified by the end of 2024, but preventing AI and automation-related job loss should be among the organizers' top stated priorities.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ2,547 | |
| 2 | Ṁ386 | |
| 3 | Ṁ243 | |
| 4 | Ṁ228 | |
| 5 | Ṁ178 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will some U.S. investment bankers be negatively affected financially due to AI by end of 2025?
26% chance
Will there be a war over AI before 2035?
27% chance
Will artificial intelligence be directly tied to an unemployment rise in the USA by the end of 2025?
23% chance
Will increasing levels of AI/Automation cause a meaningful reduction in sweatshop labor by 2035?
57% chance
Will some U.S. software engineers be negatively affected financially due to AI by end of 2025?
98% chance
Major protest against automation/AI dev. by 2028?
71% chance
Will there be mass layoffs of knowledge workers as a direct result of AI by 2030?
70% chance
Will AI writers replace all jobs for human writers by the end of 2025?
1% chance
Will Automation by AI Cut Computer Programmer Jobs at least 25% by 2032?
80% chance
Will we see AI take over at least 100,000 jobs by 2027?
78% chance