Will US-based white-collar workers across multiple sectors start unionizing by the end of 2024?
34
193
Ṁ1.4KṀ590
2025
26%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
To resolve YES will require at least two new white collar unions to be created in two different sectors of the economy.
I reserve the right to add more detail to these criteria as the market develops in the comments.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2024?
23% chance
Will white-collar workers unionize to prevent job loss to AI/automation in 2024?
15% chance
Will LLMs be better than typical white-collar workers on all computer tasks before 2026?
27% chance
Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2026?
42% chance
[Metaculus] Will the federal minimum wage increase in the United States before 2025?
35% chance
Will any US Walmart store be unionized before the end of 2025?
28% chance
Will union membership in the US rise from January 2023 to January 2030?
53% chance
Will Americans' confidence in organized labor decline in 2024, according to Gallup?
35% chance
US whitecollar union membership reaches 10M by 2028
23% chance
[Metaculus] Will the US see a large-scale riot in 2023 or 2024?
19% chance