Does any eating window reduce chance of cancer related death?
17
82
400
Sep 16
46%
chance

Resolves Yes if several of these criteria are met and it's a clear and undeniable consensus in the medical community that any eating widow reduces your chances of cancer related death.

Close date will be extended as needed until the necessary studies are done to resolve this definitively.

  • Peer reviewed study or studies published in academic journals

  • Confirms a 00.01% or more reduced chance of cancer related deaths

  • 5,000 - 10,000 participants

  • 10-20 years in length

  • Study must be longitudinal checking in with the same individuals over the length of the study

  • Controls are in place for confounders

Resolves No if it's proven no specific eating window reduces cancer related deaths.

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Is this market expected to be resolved when it closes in September?

@Ciuccio No, the close time will be extended until we know for sure

What kind of windows are we supposed to be eating? 🤔

@Snarflak 10 and up. I don't think 7 and 8 are supported anymore.

You mean "chance per unit time conditional on previous survival", not "total lifetime chance", right? (Otherwise, an empty window—a.k.a. starving yourself to death—will reduce your chance of cancer-related death all the way to zero.)

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