Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani secures the Democratic nomination for Mayor of New York City in the 2025 election. Official confirmation will be based on the certified results published by the New York City Board of Elections. (en.wikipedia.org)

Background

Zohran Mamdani, a 33-year-old Democratic Socialist and current New York State Assemblymember representing the 36th District in Queens, is a prominent candidate in the 2025 New York City Democratic mayoral primary. Known for his progressive activism, Mamdani has advocated for policies such as rent freezes, fare-free buses, and city-owned grocery stores. His campaign has garnered endorsements from figures like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Bernie Sanders, and has achieved significant grassroots support, including over 20,000 small donors and a large volunteer base. (time.com)

Considerations

The 2025 Democratic primary employs a ranked-choice voting system, allowing voters to rank up to five candidates. This method can lead to multiple rounds of vote redistribution, potentially delaying final results. (time.com) Additionally, former Governor Andrew Cuomo is a major contender in the race, leading in several polls, which may influence Mamdani's chances of securing the nomination. (axios.com)