Will Google DeepMind publicly release or announce a recursive self-improvement (RSI) capable AI system before January 1, 2026?
Context: Recent developments show major AI labs racing toward RSI capabilities. In May 2025, Google DeepMind unveiled AlphaEvolve, an evolutionary coding agent using LLMs to design and optimize algorithms. Meta has established a superintelligence research team with massive infrastructure investments. The field is treating RSI as a critical milestone toward AGI.
Resolution: Market resolves YES if Google DeepMind publicly announces or releases a system explicitly capable of recursive self-improvement (autonomously optimizing its own algorithms/architecture) before January 1, 2026. Announcements via official blog posts, research papers, or press releases count. Resolves NO if no such announcement occurs by the deadline.
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