This prediction will resolve "yes" iff OpenAI's for-profit arm still exists, and is still under the majority control of the nonprofit by January 1, 2025.

It will resolve "no" if:

• OpenAI is dissolved, goes bankrupt, or is formally acquired by another entity (They are gone)

• Another entity acquires a majority controlling interest in either the nonprofit or the for-profit
  (They are no longer independent, formally)

• The leadership of either entity is replaced in such a way that there is broad consensus that their actions are being directed by a third-party
  (They are no longer independent, informally)