Will OpenAI exist as an independent entity by 2025?
33
382
แน€1.3k
2025
81%
chance

This prediction will resolve "yes" iff OpenAI's for-profit arm still exists, and is still under the majority control of the nonprofit by January 1, 2025.

It will resolve "no" if:

  • OpenAI is dissolved, goes bankrupt, or is formally acquired by another entity (They are gone)

  • Another entity acquires a majority controlling interest in either the nonprofit or the for-profit
    (They are no longer independent, formally)

  • The leadership of either entity is replaced in such a way that there is broad consensus that their actions are being directed by a third-party
    (They are no longer independent, informally)

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