In 2025, will any individual(s) be charged with a crime related to starting the Eaton Fire that began on January 7 2025? My goal in this market is to capture the theme of "did a malicious or very negligent individual start this fire?" with clear resolution criteria.

The person must be charged with actions that proximally (within a few hours of taking the action, or as a direct consequence of the action) led to the fire. Some examples of actions that will resolve this YES:

• intentional arson

• improper disposal of a cigarette butt

• letting a camping stove fire get out of control

• setting off fireworks/sparklers

• failing to put out a campfire the night before

I'm leaving out fires caused by necessary/government-commissioned activities or super indirect crimes. Some examples of things that will NOT resolve this market YES (even if charges are filed) are:

• a power company employee/executive failing to maintain safe electrical transmission infrastructure

• a government employee or contractor leaving hot machinery running too close to an ignitable object while performing their assigned duties

• someone is charged with lighting the Palisades fire and it turns out an ember from that flew 20 miles and started the Eaton fire

The Resolution will be based on official announcements from law enforcement agencies or court records indicating criminal charges have been filed.