This market predicts whether any individual will face criminal indictment related to the Synapse collapse and the $85M consumer fund shortfall.

Resolution criteria. The first condition that is met resolves the market, so if consumers are made whole before a qualifying indictment, the market will resolve N/A.

Market resolves YES if any individual is formally indicted on criminal charges directly related to the Synapse collapse. Charges must be filed by a U.S. federal or state prosecutor.

Market resolves NO on June 1, 2026.

Market resolves N/A if consumers are made whole.

References:

• https://fintechbusinessweekly.substack.com/p/synapse-program-was-nightmare-fuel

• https://www.fingerlakes1.com/2024/11/23/thousands-lose-savings-in-synapse-collapse/

• https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/22/synapse-bankruptcy-thousands-of-americans-see-their-savings-vanish.html