Hague Invasion Act invoked before Midnight Christmas Eve 2028?
4
100แน1602028
16%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
American Service-Members' Protection Act
...Is an act authorizing the president to use any means to secure the liberty of alleged criminal service members from any detention by or on behalf of the ICC.
Will it be invoked?
I will not play in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
US and Canada engage in armed conflict before January 20, 2029
5% chance
Will the US formally annexation Greenland by Dec 31, 2030>
16% chance
Trump challenges War Powers Resolution before midnight Christmas Eve 2028?
52% chance
Will the USA invade Canada before 2029?
4% chance
Will a Longtermist act of pre-emptive violence be reported by multiple credible news sources by 1st Jan 2028?
19% chance
US and Canada engage in armed conflict before January 1, 2029
7% chance
Will Section 4 of the 25th Amendment be invoked before Inauguration Day 2029?
8% chance
Will US refuse gold repatriation before Christmas Eve midnight 2028?
36% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 40 seconds to midnight by 2028?
24% chance
Will the US violate the sovereignty of Canada before January 20th 2029?
12% chance