Will a Pacific Island nation (one of Tonga, Samoa and/or Fiji) make it into the 2023 Rugby World Cup quarterfinals?
22
375
390
resolved Oct 8
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES if at least 1 of Tonga, Samoa or Fiji make it to the knockout phase of the 2023 Rugby World Cup.

Otherwise resolves NO

Background
Pacific Island players have chosen to play for larger population rugby playing nations for many years (and still do to this day).

For this 2023 World Cup cycle, an unprecedented number of capped players who previously played for the likes of New Zealand and Australia have opted to play for their Pacific Island teams.

It will be interesting to see how they go.

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predicted YES

What a great story to have been written at this World Cup. Hopefully we see more from Fiji and the other overperforming Pacific nations for years to come.

predicted YES

This is huge. History for Fiji making their third quarterfinal appearance after their pool phase performance. Previously they made the quarterfinals in 1987 (the first tournament) and 2007 (France)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fiji_at_the_Rugby_World_Cup

They may fancy themselves against England after their warm up match too (a 30-22 victory at Twickenham).

predicted YES

Portugal putting up a great fight against Fiji. To my maths, an 8 point Portugal win would be what it takes to nudge Fiji out.

Second half still to come

predicted YES

@JulianLees Plus Fiji not making 4 tries. (Any point for Fiji means QF for them and Australia going home.)

predicted YES

@PetrKadlec great point! Forgot to add this

bought Ṁ10 of NO

@JulianLees “Plus” as in both criteria needed, or either?

predicted YES

@capybara Fiji only need a single point as head to head is first decider and Fiji beat Aus

predicted YES

@JulianLees so Fiji getting a bonus point in any way will aid them to qualify

predicted NO

@JulianLees Ah, I didn’t know about h2h decider.

predicted YES

@capybara yea neither. Had to do some frantic googling this morning:

  1. The winner of the Match in which the two tied Teams have played each other shall be the higher ranked.

  2. The Team which has the best difference between points scored for and points scored against in all its pool Matches shall be the higher ranked.

  3. The Team which has the best difference between tries scored for and tries scored against in all its pool Matches shall be the higher ranked.

  4. The Team which has scored most points in all its pool Matches shall be the higher ranked.

  5. The Team which has scored most tries in all its pool Matches shall be the higher ranked.

  6. Should the tie be unresolved at the conclusion of steps 1 through 5, the rankings as per the updated. Official World Rugby World Rankings on October 14, 2019 will determine the higher ranked Team.

predicted YES

Pool C now very interesting

bought Ṁ30 of YES

Huge result for Fiji this time beating Australia for the first time in 69 years

@tiswtr hope you enjoyed that one

Samoa 1W and 0L

Tonga 0W and 1L

Fiji 0W and 1L

Fiji with a big one coming up against Auzzie

Another big two days for this question:
SAM v CHI
IRE v TON

Followed by:
AUS v FIJ

Will be great to see both Samoa and Tonga get started

Disappointment for Fiji this morning. Tonga and Samoa waiting to kickoff their campaigns.

Big moment for Fiji this morning.

Can they get off the mark well against Wales?

predicted YES

Rooting for Fiji here 🇫🇯

@tiswtr it would be great to see Fiji make it through. I always love the creativity, flair and physicality they bring to the game. Great result against England so hopefully good signs for the possibility of YES