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Will English Wikipedia Have More than 6,761,952 Pages by Christmas?
44
Ṁ770Ṁ5.7k
resolved Dec 24
Resolved
NO

According to This Page, will English Wikipedia exceed 6,761,952 pages in size? This will resolve on Christmas Day in the JST time zone. (To be honest, I have no clue how to code in resolution, so it will be when I have a second to check in the morning.

I will not be betting on this question.

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According to the question and description, this resolves when I checked it just now as it is "when I have a second to check in the morning". Additionally, I apologize if anything was unclear, but the title was BY Christmas, not by the end of Christmas. Sorry to disappoint anyone. If you have any questions about how I am going to resolve markets in the future, please feel free to ask before you put in a bet.

With that said, we got to 6,761,735, so it resolves NO. Thanks for playing! This was my first market and I had a lot of fun watching it.

predictedNO

@Juanme I actually think this market was perfectly clear and I am genuinely confused why so many people here didn't understand that

predictedYES

@Juanme so close...

predictedNO

17:03 UTC (2:03 JST 25 December) the number of English pages are 6,761,602. So should resolve to NO.

predictedYES

@Martinus42 I disagree this doesn't say before Christmas Day it says "on" Christmas Day. The day isn't over yet. There is still plenty of time for it to come true.

Guys it clearly says that he will check on the morning of Christmas day (so like 6 hours from now) and resolve accordingly

predictedYES

@Shump It doesn't say anything about Christmas morning.

@DaveTrash

it will be when I have a second to check in the morning.

predictedYES

@Shump the end time set for the market to close is 11:59 pm JST. Betting continues until then. If we hit 6,761,952 by that time then this will resolve as YES we reached the number "on Christmas Day". You can try to twist it but it will still be true.

predictedNO

@DaveTrash You can also say whatever you like but you're not the one resolving this market. And neither am I, I was just trying to offer advice. But if you don't agree, by all means, bet this up.

@Shump @Martinus42 @DaveTrash It's been Christmas Day in Japan (JST) for over 5 hours.

https://www.google.com/search?q=JST+time+zone

predictedYES

@DaveTrash I totally agree. I would clearly have voted no otherwise

predictedNO

This is going to be very close

6,758,385 at timestamp

predictedNO

@mattyb 6,759,242

@mattyb 857 new pages in 2 days.

6 days until christmas means we can expect ~2.5k-2.6k new pages by xmas, for a total of 6,761,813. Missing the total by 150 pages… it’s gonna be close

predictedNO

@mattyb 6,759,728

predictedNO

@mattyb 6,760,158

predictedNO

@mattyb 6,760,917

@mattyb we’re 1,000 off now, and grew by ~760 between my last two posts. It’s a nail bitter, but I’ve flipped my vote

@mattyb It's close but looks like you're right, I to flipped.

predictedYES

@mattyb 6,761,169

@mattyb 6,761,625.

22 hours for ~325 pages.

@DaveTrash i sold lol. too close for me