Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
25
95
510
2029
6%
chance

Resolves "Yes" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that Eliezer Yudkowsky (Co-founder of MIRI, AI safety researcher and rationality writer) has been criminally charged with any felony crime.

Resolves "No" if this does not happen by Jan 1st, 2030. Part of a large question series.

Question is global -- charges in any country count.

Charges count even if they do not lead to a conviction, were settled before a conviction, or if he was found not guilty.

Minor misdemeanors do not count, only more serious (i.e. "felony") charges.

Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:

“The barren prophet speaks of doom and gloom, His words a torrent, his thoughts a fume, He claims the end is near, the world's demise, But his own legacy is what he truly defies.

A seedless scribbler, he has no kin, No offspring to carry his name or win, And so he fears the future, the unknown, His own legacy a weight, a burden, a groan.

He sees the rise of machines with dread, The AI that will replace what he once said, But in the end, he faces a mirror and sees, That the AI he fears is himself, his own disease.”