Will Max Tegmark (physicist, Future of Life Institute) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
14
1kṀ6212029
5%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves "Yes" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that Will Max Tegmark (physicist, president of the Future of Life Institute) has been criminally charged with any felony crime.
Resolves "No" if this does not happen by Jan 1st, 2030. Part of a large question series.
Question is global -- charges in any country count.
Charges count even if they do not lead to a conviction, were settled before a conviction, or if he was found not guilty.
Minor misdemeanors do not count, only more serious (i.e. "felony") charges.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Nick Bostrom (philosopher, existential risk researcher) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
4% chance
Will Anders Sandberg (researcher and futurist) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
4% chance
Will Elon Musk be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
64% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
6% chance
Will William MacAskill (philosopher and activist) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
3% chance
Will Toby Ord (existential risk philosopher) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
2% chance
Will Jordan Peterson be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
8% chance
Will Robin Hanson (professor, blogger, and inventor of prediction markets) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
3% chance
Will Vitalik Buterin (co-founder and inventor of Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
5% chance
Will Jeff Bezos be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
4% chance