Resolution criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zack Polanski is officially announced as the leader of the Green Party of England and Wales by December 31, 2025. If no such announcement is made by that date, the market will resolve to "No."
Background:
Zack Polanski has been an active member of the Green Party since 2017. He was elected as a London Assembly Member in 2021 and has served as the party's deputy leader since September 2022. As of May 2025, there have been no public announcements regarding his candidacy for the party's leadership position.
Considerations:
Current Leadership: The Green Party of England and Wales is currently led by co-leaders Carla Denyer and Adrian Ramsay, who were elected in 2021.
Leadership Election Cycle: The Green Party typically holds leadership elections every two years. Given the last election was in 2021, the next scheduled election would be in 2023. However, specific dates and potential candidates for the 2025 leadership election have not been publicly disclosed.
Polanski's Political Trajectory: Since joining the Green Party, Polanski has rapidly ascended within the party ranks, indicating a strong base of support. His current role as deputy leader positions him as a potential candidate for future leadership roles.
Sources:
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