Will Hong Kong become a province of the PRC in 2047?
Basic
4
Ṁ452047
53%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Hong Kong is officially a province of the PRC by December 31st 2047.
This is a much tighter version of this market
https://manifold.markets/JoshuaWilkes/will-hong-kong-be-an-sar-of-the-prc
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@JoshuaWilkes I suggest this market for a bit more nuance:
https://manifold.markets/JoshuaWilkes/will-hong-kong-be-an-sar-of-the-prc?r=Sm9zaHVhV2lsa2Vz
Related questions
Related questions
Will Hong Kong become a province of the PRC before 2047?
40% chance
Will Hong Kong be an SAR of the PRC in 2050?
35% chance
Will Hong Kong leave China before 2040?
15% chance
Will Taiwan remain independent of China through 2049?
51% chance
Will Xi Jinping visit Hong Kong by the end of 2024?
29% chance
By 2063, will the Republic of China annex any territory in the mainland?
24% chance
Will China control Taiwan in 2040?
29% chance
Will China still be controlled by the CCP in 2050?
39% chance
Hong Kong to change its HK$ peg away from USD by end of 2026?
39% chance
Will Hong Kong be put on the EU list of non-cooperative jurisdictions for tax purposes (aka EU blacklist) by EOY 2024?
33% chance