Will Hong Kong become a province of the PRC in 2047? | Manifold

Will Hong Kong become a province of the PRC in 2047?

4

90Ṁ45

2047

53%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if Hong Kong is officially a province of the PRC by December 31st 2047.

This is a much tighter version of this market

https://manifold.markets/JoshuaWilkes/will-hong-kong-be-an-sar-of-the-prc

Chinese Politics

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What if it does not become a province in its own right, but absorbed into another province, say Guangdong and is given a special economic zone status?

@Orca then it would not be a province of the PRC

@JoshuaWilkes I suggest this market for a bit more nuance:

https://manifold.markets/JoshuaWilkes/will-hong-kong-be-an-sar-of-the-prc?r=Sm9zaHVhV2lsa2Vz

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