Will Elon Musk visit China before March 21 2026?
10
100Ṁ191
2026
81%
chance

Background

Elon Musk has visited China multiple times in the past, primarily for business purposes related to Tesla's operations in the country. Tesla has a significant presence in China, including its Shanghai Gigafactory, which is one of the company's largest manufacturing facilities. China represents a crucial market for Tesla and Musk's other ventures.

In recent developments, Tesla has been working to expand its presence in China, particularly regarding the approval of Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology in the Chinese market. These business interests may necessitate Musk's personal visits to the country.

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves to YES if Elon Musk physically visits P.R.C including Hong Kong and Macao, at any point between now and March 21, 2026.

The market resolves to NO if Elon Musk does not visit any part of the P.R.C. before March 21, 2026

For resolution purposes, a visit requires Musk to physically be present in Chinese territory. Virtual appearances, flyovers without landing, or brief technical stops at airports without exiting the airport will not count as visits.

The visit will be confirmed based on credible news reports, official statements, or verifiable social media posts from Musk himself or reliable organizations.

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