
Will Elon Musk spent more than 1 year without entering the US before 2034?
6
130Ṁ1132034
41%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
For any reason, Elon Musk will not be in the US for a contiguous period of over 1 year, copmleted before 2034.
i.e. Elon spends 365 consecutive days outside the US
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion by Jan 1st, 2029?
29% chance
Will Elon Musk be a citizen of the USA at the end of 2025?
97% chance
Will Elon Musk spend a year in outer space?
7% chance
Will Elon Musk be arrested in the US before 2034?
32% chance
Will Elon Musk be in the space before 2030?
13% chance
Will Elon Musk spend a month in outer space?
22% chance
Will Elon Musk visit China before March 21 2026?
82% chance
Will Elon Musk serve any prison sentence before November 2032?
18% chance
Will Elon Musk run for public office in the US before 2034
10% chance
Will Elon Musk be arrested for any reason before 2030?
33% chance
Sort by:
@StrayClimb What if he dies while in the US? A dead person isn't really a person, so Elon Musk wouldn't be inside the US because Elon Musk wouldn't exist.
Edit: oh right Odoacre asked this as well. I guess you means that counts as Yes then?
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion by Jan 1st, 2029?
29% chance
Will Elon Musk be a citizen of the USA at the end of 2025?
97% chance
Will Elon Musk spend a year in outer space?
7% chance
Will Elon Musk be arrested in the US before 2034?
32% chance
Will Elon Musk be in the space before 2030?
13% chance
Will Elon Musk spend a month in outer space?
22% chance
Will Elon Musk visit China before March 21 2026?
82% chance
Will Elon Musk serve any prison sentence before November 2032?
18% chance
Will Elon Musk run for public office in the US before 2034
10% chance
Will Elon Musk be arrested for any reason before 2030?
33% chance