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MANIFOLD
Will China broker a peace deal between Israel and Palestine by 2025?
14
Ṁ1kṀ9.6k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

Resolution will be on a claim made by the PRC that they have done so, and that claim being affirmed by the Israeli government and the Palestinian authority.

Exactly what the 'peace deal' would look like is necessarily wooly, but at a minimum a ceasefire must be agreed to and upheld by both sides.

I will not bet on this market.

Market context
Geopolitics
Israel
China
Israel-Hamas Conflict
Arab-Israeli Conflict
Palestine
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PRC's belief has always been two state policy, meaning that Israel should retreat to the borderline in 1967 and recognize palestine as an individual country. I doubt that will happen unless Israel completely lose the current war.

I have very little confidence that the PRC efforts in this way will work.

@Ernie gotta get that sweet sweet no then :p

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