Will buses in the UK be driverless by 2030?
Basic
7
Ṁ1582030
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if, by 2030, more than five of the top ten urban areas on this list have substantial numbers of driverless buses.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_primary_urban_areas_in_England_by_population
Resolves to 50% if at least London has substantial numbers of driverless buses.
I will not bet, and will adjudicate on the meaning of substantial.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will at least 10 world cities have a generally available self-driving taxi service by 2025?
78% chance
Will there be autonomous school busses in service in the USA by 2030?
37% chance
Will self-driving taxis be available in London by the end of 2030?
64% chance
Will there be self driving taxis in London, UK by the end of 2026?
27% chance
Will there be autonomous school busses in service in the USA by 2035?
77% chance
Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major city before 2030?
73% chance
Will there be self driving taxis in London before the end of 2025?
21% chance
Will any city in the UK have a self-driving taxi service by the end of 2026?
25% chance
Will the trucking industry be automated by end of 2030?
33% chance
Will at least 20% of cars I see be self-driving by 2030?
76% chance