Will a crossing of the Bab-el-Mandeb, between Yemen and Djibouti or Eritrea, have started construction by 2040?
10
36
Ṁ275Ṁ210
2040
21%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Such a crossing would link the Horn of Africa with the Arabian Peninsula
Could be a bridge, a tunnel or even a 'submerged floating tunnel'.
Resolves on undisputed media reporting
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Plans to build one have been approved in the past, but never started. Yemen and Djibouti/Eritrea are both very poor, so they would need significant external funding. I think this is unlikely (but not unheard of - it got close before). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bridge_of_the_Horns
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